Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami overnight lows on September 6 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistently high dew points near 77–80°F that suppress radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Light variable winds, frequent afternoon and evening thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover further limit temperature drops, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-70s without a strong frontal passage. Trader consensus around 78–81°F reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 72°F would require atypical clear skies and drier air advection, and warmer readings hinge on sustained moisture or stalled convection. Updated model runs and any overnight clearing will refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 6 de septiembre?
71°F o menos 49%
90°F o más 49%
72-73°F 46%
74-75°F 46%
71°F o menos
49%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
46%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
46%
88-89 °F
46%
90°F o más
49%
71°F o menos 49%
90°F o más 49%
72-73°F 46%
74-75°F 46%
71°F o menos
49%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
46%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
46%
88-89 °F
46%
90°F o más
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami overnight lows on September 6 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistently high dew points near 77–80°F that suppress radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Light variable winds, frequent afternoon and evening thunderstorms, and lingering cloud cover further limit temperature drops, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima rarely fall below the mid-70s without a strong frontal passage. Trader consensus around 78–81°F reflects this stable pattern, while lower-probability outcomes below 72°F would require atypical clear skies and drier air advection, and warmer readings hinge on sustained moisture or stalled convection. Updated model runs and any overnight clearing will refine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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