**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds for Beijing’s September 14 low temperature.** Official and model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, point to radiational cooling under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting lows clustered around 14–17°C—near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C. This aligns with the elevated probabilities on the 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. The 19°C-or-higher bucket’s leading 46.5% share reflects some model spread and the possibility of slightly milder boundary-layer temperatures if winds remain light but not perfectly calm. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected in the next 24 hours, keeping probabilities for single-digit or sub-12°C readings very low. The market will resolve on official overnight minimum observations from Beijing stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 14 de septiembre?
19°C o más 92%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
9°C o menos
4%
10°C
9%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C o más
92%
19°C o más 92%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$42 Vol.
8%
19°C o más
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds for Beijing’s September 14 low temperature.** Official and model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, point to radiational cooling under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting lows clustered around 14–17°C—near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C. This aligns with the elevated probabilities on the 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. The 19°C-or-higher bucket’s leading 46.5% share reflects some model spread and the possibility of slightly milder boundary-layer temperatures if winds remain light but not perfectly calm. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected in the next 24 hours, keeping probabilities for single-digit or sub-12°C readings very low. The market will resolve on official overnight minimum observations from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$42Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds for Beijing’s September 14 low temperature.** Official and model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, point to radiational cooling under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting lows clustered around 14–17°C—near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C. This aligns with the elevated probabilities on the 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. The 19°C-or-higher bucket’s leading 46.5% share reflects some model spread and the possibility of slightly milder boundary-layer temperatures if winds remain light but not perfectly calm. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected in the next 24 hours, keeping probabilities for single-digit or sub-12°C readings very low. The market will resolve on official overnight minimum observations from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind current market-implied odds for Beijing’s September 14 low temperature.** Official and model guidance, including GFS-based forecasts, point to radiational cooling under dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, supporting lows clustered around 14–17°C—near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 16.4°C. This aligns with the elevated probabilities on the 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. The 19°C-or-higher bucket’s leading 46.5% share reflects some model spread and the possibility of slightly milder boundary-layer temperatures if winds remain light but not perfectly calm. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected in the next 24 hours, keeping probabilities for single-digit or sub-12°C readings very low. The market will resolve on official overnight minimum observations from Beijing stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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