Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 22 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 22 de septiembre?
1°C o menos 92%
11°C o más 91%
3°C 40%
2°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
1°C o menos
92%
2°C
37%
3°C
40%
4°C
21%
5°C
22%
6°C
20%
7°C
37%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C o más
91%
1°C o menos 92%
11°C o más 91%
3°C 40%
2°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
1°C o menos
$0 Vol.
92%
2°C
$0 Vol.
37%
3°C
$0 Vol.
40%
4°C
$0 Vol.
21%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
37%
8°C
$0 Vol.
37%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$0 Vol.
37%
11°C o más
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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