Traders see near-even odds across 19–27°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 28 minimum because short-range global and regional models show comparable probabilities for clear, radiational cooling versus cloudier, rain-cooled scenarios over the next 48 hours. Subtropical high pressure ridges and any eastward-moving troughs or monsoon moisture pulses remain the dominant variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in overnight low temperatures typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and consensus forecasts will update through the weekend, directly informing resolution as the date approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 28 de agosto?
26°C 47%
29°C or higher 45%
25°C 44%
24°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
19°C or below
38%
20°C
32%
21°C
33%
22°C
33%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
44%
26°C
47%
27°C
39%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
45%
26°C 47%
29°C or higher 45%
25°C 44%
24°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
19°C or below
$27 Vol.
38%
20°C
$27 Vol.
32%
21°C
$27 Vol.
33%
22°C
$27 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 19–27°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 28 minimum because short-range global and regional models show comparable probabilities for clear, radiational cooling versus cloudier, rain-cooled scenarios over the next 48 hours. Subtropical high pressure ridges and any eastward-moving troughs or monsoon moisture pulses remain the dominant variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in overnight low temperatures typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and consensus forecasts will update through the weekend, directly informing resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$109Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 19–27°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 28 minimum because short-range global and regional models show comparable probabilities for clear, radiational cooling versus cloudier, rain-cooled scenarios over the next 48 hours. Subtropical high pressure ridges and any eastward-moving troughs or monsoon moisture pulses remain the dominant variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in overnight low temperatures typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and consensus forecasts will update through the weekend, directly informing resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$109Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds across 19–27°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 28 minimum because short-range global and regional models show comparable probabilities for clear, radiational cooling versus cloudier, rain-cooled scenarios over the next 48 hours. Subtropical high pressure ridges and any eastward-moving troughs or monsoon moisture pulses remain the dominant variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in overnight low temperatures typical of late-summer Sichuan Basin conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and consensus forecasts will update through the weekend, directly informing resolution as the date approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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