**The near-even split between 15°C-or-below (47.5%) and 25°C-or-higher (47.0%) reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum on September 17 amid the expected start of the Huaxi autumn rain period.** Persistent light rain and overcast skies are forecast to moderate daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping most model runs clustered near 21–22°C. However, the precise minimum hinges on the strength and timing of any embedded cold-air intrusion versus lingering warm, moist southerly flow; stronger northerly winds or clearer breaks could push readings several degrees lower, while weaker advection or delayed rain would favor higher values. Ensemble spreads in regional models remain wide for this 48-hour window, and the market’s balanced pricing captures traders’ assessment of that genuine meteorological variability rather than a strong consensus around any single threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 17 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 69%
25°C o más 60%
21°C 40%
16°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
15°C o menos
69%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
31%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C o más
60%
15°C o menos 69%
25°C o más 60%
21°C 40%
16°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
69%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C o más
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-even split between 15°C-or-below (47.5%) and 25°C-or-higher (47.0%) reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum on September 17 amid the expected start of the Huaxi autumn rain period.** Persistent light rain and overcast skies are forecast to moderate daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping most model runs clustered near 21–22°C. However, the precise minimum hinges on the strength and timing of any embedded cold-air intrusion versus lingering warm, moist southerly flow; stronger northerly winds or clearer breaks could push readings several degrees lower, while weaker advection or delayed rain would favor higher values. Ensemble spreads in regional models remain wide for this 48-hour window, and the market’s balanced pricing captures traders’ assessment of that genuine meteorological variability rather than a strong consensus around any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-even split between 15°C-or-below (47.5%) and 25°C-or-higher (47.0%) reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum on September 17 amid the expected start of the Huaxi autumn rain period.** Persistent light rain and overcast skies are forecast to moderate daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping most model runs clustered near 21–22°C. However, the precise minimum hinges on the strength and timing of any embedded cold-air intrusion versus lingering warm, moist southerly flow; stronger northerly winds or clearer breaks could push readings several degrees lower, while weaker advection or delayed rain would favor higher values. Ensemble spreads in regional models remain wide for this 48-hour window, and the market’s balanced pricing captures traders’ assessment of that genuine meteorological variability rather than a strong consensus around any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The near-even split between 15°C-or-below (47.5%) and 25°C-or-higher (47.0%) reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum on September 17 amid the expected start of the Huaxi autumn rain period.** Persistent light rain and overcast skies are forecast to moderate daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping most model runs clustered near 21–22°C. However, the precise minimum hinges on the strength and timing of any embedded cold-air intrusion versus lingering warm, moist southerly flow; stronger northerly winds or clearer breaks could push readings several degrees lower, while weaker advection or delayed rain would favor higher values. Ensemble spreads in regional models remain wide for this 48-hour window, and the market’s balanced pricing captures traders’ assessment of that genuine meteorological variability rather than a strong consensus around any single threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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