Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 28 around 26–28°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Cloud cover and rainfall from the active pattern reduce temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, aligning with the historical August average low near 25°C but allowing room for variance if skies clear briefly. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with elevated odds on 31°C or higher capturing upside potential from suppressed cooling while 26–27°C outcomes price the most probable range under current steering patterns and dew points near 26°C. New model runs and observations in the next 48 hours could shift resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 28 de agosto?
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 89%
28°C 89%
29°C 89%
21°C or below
74%
22°C
86%
23°C
44%
24°C
45%
25°C
89%
26°C
46%
27°C
46%
28°C
89%
29°C
89%
30°C
88%
31°C or higher
98%
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 89%
28°C 89%
29°C 89%
21°C or below
74%
22°C
86%
23°C
44%
24°C
45%
25°C
89%
26°C
46%
27°C
46%
28°C
89%
29°C
89%
30°C
88%
31°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 28 around 26–28°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Cloud cover and rainfall from the active pattern reduce temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, aligning with the historical August average low near 25°C but allowing room for variance if skies clear briefly. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with elevated odds on 31°C or higher capturing upside potential from suppressed cooling while 26–27°C outcomes price the most probable range under current steering patterns and dew points near 26°C. New model runs and observations in the next 48 hours could shift resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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