Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate typical late-August conditions for Istanbul, with expected overnight lows near 22–23°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, or urban heat retention can alter the minimum by several degrees within the 24–48-hour window. Diurnal cooling rates, influenced by the Bosphorus’s moderating effect and regional high pressure, keep extremes unlikely while model spread on exact timing of any weak frontal passage sustains balanced odds ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 25 de agosto?
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 97%
27°C 90%
26°C 52%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
97%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
90%
28°C or higher
97%
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 97%
27°C 90%
26°C 52%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
97%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
46%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$4 Vol.
27%
26°C
$5 Vol.
52%
27°C
$5 Vol.
90%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate typical late-August conditions for Istanbul, with expected overnight lows near 22–23°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, or urban heat retention can alter the minimum by several degrees within the 24–48-hour window. Diurnal cooling rates, influenced by the Bosphorus’s moderating effect and regional high pressure, keep extremes unlikely while model spread on exact timing of any weak frontal passage sustains balanced odds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate typical late-August conditions for Istanbul, with expected overnight lows near 22–23°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, or urban heat retention can alter the minimum by several degrees within the 24–48-hour window. Diurnal cooling rates, influenced by the Bosphorus’s moderating effect and regional high pressure, keep extremes unlikely while model spread on exact timing of any weak frontal passage sustains balanced odds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate typical late-August conditions for Istanbul, with expected overnight lows near 22–23°C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, or urban heat retention can alter the minimum by several degrees within the 24–48-hour window. Diurnal cooling rates, influenced by the Bosphorus’s moderating effect and regional high pressure, keep extremes unlikely while model spread on exact timing of any weak frontal passage sustains balanced odds ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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