Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air and variable cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have shown a modest cooling trend from seasonal norms around 20–21°C lows, with scattered showers possible enhancing humidity and moderating temperature drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across 18–22°C outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speed, cloud thickness, or timing of any precipitation can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C under these transitional late-summer conditions. Traders appear to weigh consensus guidance against historical August variability while awaiting refined model runs closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 29 de agosto?
15°C or below 57%
23°C 50%
16°C 47%
25°C or higher 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
57%
16°C
47%
17°C
19%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
47%
15°C or below 57%
23°C 50%
16°C 47%
25°C or higher 47%
NUEVO
NUEVO
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
$135 Vol.
57%
16°C
$5 Vol.
47%
17°C
$5 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$10 Vol.
50%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air and variable cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have shown a modest cooling trend from seasonal norms around 20–21°C lows, with scattered showers possible enhancing humidity and moderating temperature drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across 18–22°C outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speed, cloud thickness, or timing of any precipitation can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C under these transitional late-summer conditions. Traders appear to weigh consensus guidance against historical August variability while awaiting refined model runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air and variable cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have shown a modest cooling trend from seasonal norms around 20–21°C lows, with scattered showers possible enhancing humidity and moderating temperature drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across 18–22°C outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speed, cloud thickness, or timing of any precipitation can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C under these transitional late-summer conditions. Traders appear to weigh consensus guidance against historical August variability while awaiting refined model runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$165Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall between 19–21°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler air and variable cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent days have shown a modest cooling trend from seasonal norms around 20–21°C lows, with scattered showers possible enhancing humidity and moderating temperature drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across 18–22°C outcomes because small differences in predicted wind speed, cloud thickness, or timing of any precipitation can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C under these transitional late-summer conditions. Traders appear to weigh consensus guidance against historical August variability while awaiting refined model runs closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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