Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and northerly flow promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Jinan, driving the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on a minimum of 12°C or below for September 10. Overnight lows have already trended sharply downward in the past 48 hours, with preliminary station data and ensemble forecasts aligning well below the September climatological average of 18°C. This skin-in-the-game trader view reflects verified observations of dry air and light winds enhancing temperature drops after sunset. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings; an unexpected cloud increase or southerly shift could push the actual low above 12°C and alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 10 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 99%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
19°C 2%
12°C o menos
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
2%
12°C o menos 99%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
19°C 2%
12°C o menos
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and northerly flow promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Jinan, driving the market's overwhelming 99% implied probability on a minimum of 12°C or below for September 10. Overnight lows have already trended sharply downward in the past 48 hours, with preliminary station data and ensemble forecasts aligning well below the September climatological average of 18°C. This skin-in-the-game trader view reflects verified observations of dry air and light winds enhancing temperature drops after sunset. Resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings; an unexpected cloud increase or southerly shift could push the actual low above 12°C and alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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