**Forecast models and observations point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly sunny skies under a modest pressure gradient.** National Weather Service guidance and private-sector runs converge on 83–86°F, with south winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. The near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins reflects minor divergences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification across Central Park versus airport stations. Historical September normals near 79°F underscore the anomalous warmth, but no extreme heat setup exists to push probabilities higher. Updated afternoon observations and final model guidance will resolve the narrow range before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 9 de septiembre?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 6%
$24,869 Vol.
$24,869 Vol.
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o más
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 6%
$24,869 Vol.
$24,869 Vol.
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79 °F
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observations point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, 2026, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly sunny skies under a modest pressure gradient.** National Weather Service guidance and private-sector runs converge on 83–86°F, with south winds of 10–15 mph and gusts to 25 mph enhancing mixing while limiting full insolation. The near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins reflects minor divergences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification across Central Park versus airport stations. Historical September normals near 79°F underscore the anomalous warmth, but no extreme heat setup exists to push probabilities higher. Updated afternoon observations and final model guidance will resolve the narrow range before market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes