**Forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C overnight into September 20, 2026, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes.** Clearer skies and lighter northwest winds following the 19th's cloud cover enable greater radiative cooling, while a fresh Atlantic air mass keeps daytime highs near 20–21°C but limits overnight recovery. Model runs show modest spread in exact low due to variable cloud timing and wind strength, with historical September minima in London typically 10–14°C providing context. Traders appear to price in this range amid stable high pressure, with limited scope for colder readings unless models shift toward stronger cooling. Final Met Office and observational updates before resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 20 de septiembre?
14°C 43%
15°C 32%
13°C 19%
16°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
9°C o menos
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
19%
14°C
43%
15°C
32%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
14°C 43%
15°C 32%
13°C 19%
16°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$51 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,337 Vol.
19%
14°C
$1,214 Vol.
43%
15°C
$1,908 Vol.
32%
16°C
$410 Vol.
11%
17°C
$43 Vol.
8%
18°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C overnight into September 20, 2026, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes.** Clearer skies and lighter northwest winds following the 19th's cloud cover enable greater radiative cooling, while a fresh Atlantic air mass keeps daytime highs near 20–21°C but limits overnight recovery. Model runs show modest spread in exact low due to variable cloud timing and wind strength, with historical September minima in London typically 10–14°C providing context. Traders appear to price in this range amid stable high pressure, with limited scope for colder readings unless models shift toward stronger cooling. Final Met Office and observational updates before resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$5,279Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C overnight into September 20, 2026, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes.** Clearer skies and lighter northwest winds following the 19th's cloud cover enable greater radiative cooling, while a fresh Atlantic air mass keeps daytime highs near 20–21°C but limits overnight recovery. Model runs show modest spread in exact low due to variable cloud timing and wind strength, with historical September minima in London typically 10–14°C providing context. Traders appear to price in this range amid stable high pressure, with limited scope for colder readings unless models shift toward stronger cooling. Final Met Office and observational updates before resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,279Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office points to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C overnight into September 20, 2026, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 13–14°C outcomes.** Clearer skies and lighter northwest winds following the 19th's cloud cover enable greater radiative cooling, while a fresh Atlantic air mass keeps daytime highs near 20–21°C but limits overnight recovery. Model runs show modest spread in exact low due to variable cloud timing and wind strength, with historical September minima in London typically 10–14°C providing context. Traders appear to price in this range amid stable high pressure, with limited scope for colder readings unless models shift toward stronger cooling. Final Met Office and observational updates before resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes