**Forecast models from sources like GFS and yr.no indicate an overnight low for Madrid on September 9, 2026, in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 19°C (34%), 18°C (28.5%), and 20°C (23.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light northeasterly winds and dew points near 10–14°C, support moderate radiative cooling after the warmer September 8 conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and 655 m elevation moderate extremes relative to rural sites, while seasonal norms (historical average low ~16.5°C) provide context for the current consensus. Minor model spreads arise from cloud-cover timing and wind shifts, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded between midnight and 8 a.m. local time. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 9 de septiembre?
19 °C 35%
18°C 31%
20°C 24%
21°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
15°C o menos
8%
16°C
6%
17°C
10%
18°C
31%
19 °C
35%
20°C
24%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C o más
8%
19 °C 35%
18°C 31%
20°C 24%
21°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$75 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19 °C
$4 Vol.
35%
20°C
$27 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$10 Vol.
6%
23°C
$30 Vol.
3%
24°C
$12 Vol.
2%
25°C o más
$37 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and yr.no indicate an overnight low for Madrid on September 9, 2026, in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 19°C (34%), 18°C (28.5%), and 20°C (23.5%).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light northeasterly winds and dew points near 10–14°C, support moderate radiative cooling after the warmer September 8 conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and 655 m elevation moderate extremes relative to rural sites, while seasonal norms (historical average low ~16.5°C) provide context for the current consensus. Minor model spreads arise from cloud-cover timing and wind shifts, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded between midnight and 8 a.m. local time. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$195Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and yr.no indicate an overnight low for Madrid on September 9, 2026, in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 19°C (34%), 18°C (28.5%), and 20°C (23.5%).**
Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light northeasterly winds and dew points near 10–14°C, support moderate radiative cooling after the warmer September 8 conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and 655 m elevation moderate extremes relative to rural sites, while seasonal norms (historical average low ~16.5°C) provide context for the current consensus. Minor model spreads arise from cloud-cover timing and wind shifts, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded between midnight and 8 a.m. local time. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$195Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and yr.no indicate an overnight low for Madrid on September 9, 2026, in the 18–20°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 19°C (34%), 18°C (28.5%), and 20°C (23.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light northeasterly winds and dew points near 10–14°C, support moderate radiative cooling after the warmer September 8 conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and 655 m elevation moderate extremes relative to rural sites, while seasonal norms (historical average low ~16.5°C) provide context for the current consensus. Minor model spreads arise from cloud-cover timing and wind shifts, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded between midnight and 8 a.m. local time. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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