Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 2, driving the market's leading outcomes of 72-75°F. These align with broader guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern across the Northeast, where typical Central Park minima hover near 70°F. Key factors include persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus narrowing the range. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service and next model runs will further refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 2 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 2 de agosto?
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
63°F o menos
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71 °F
13%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
46%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o más
1%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
63°F o menos
$22 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$25 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$29 Vol.
3%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
46%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$22 Vol.
1%
82°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 2, driving the market's leading outcomes of 72-75°F. These align with broader guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern across the Northeast, where typical Central Park minima hover near 70°F. Key factors include persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus narrowing the range. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service and next model runs will further refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$135Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 2, driving the market's leading outcomes of 72-75°F. These align with broader guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern across the Northeast, where typical Central Park minima hover near 70°F. Key factors include persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus narrowing the range. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service and next model runs will further refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$135Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for New York City on August 2, driving the market's leading outcomes of 72-75°F. These align with broader guidance showing overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s amid a warmer-than-average August pattern across the Northeast, where typical Central Park minima hover near 70°F. Key factors include persistent southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus narrowing the range. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service and next model runs will further refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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