Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Paris on September 1, with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while maintaining mild maritime air influence. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2°C and supports the market's tight clustering between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, which modulates longwave radiation loss, and boundary-layer mixing from winds near 2–5 m/s that prevent deeper cooling to 12°C or below. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce modest uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de septiembre?
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C o menos
5%
10°C
3%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
35%
14°C
42%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C o más
1%
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
15°C 14%
12°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$145 Vol.
5%
10°C
$63 Vol.
3%
11°C
$81 Vol.
2%
12°C
$28 Vol.
8%
13°C
$206 Vol.
35%
14°C
$209 Vol.
42%
15°C
$6 Vol.
14%
16°C
$47 Vol.
3%
17°C
$31 Vol.
2%
18°C
$10 Vol.
3%
19°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Paris on September 1, with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while maintaining mild maritime air influence. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2°C and supports the market's tight clustering between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, which modulates longwave radiation loss, and boundary-layer mixing from winds near 2–5 m/s that prevent deeper cooling to 12°C or below. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce modest uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$836Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Paris on September 1, with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while maintaining mild maritime air influence. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2°C and supports the market's tight clustering between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, which modulates longwave radiation loss, and boundary-layer mixing from winds near 2–5 m/s that prevent deeper cooling to 12°C or below. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce modest uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$836Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Paris on September 1, with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling while maintaining mild maritime air influence. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 13.2°C and supports the market's tight clustering between 13°C (33%) and 14°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, which modulates longwave radiation loss, and boundary-layer mixing from winds near 2–5 m/s that prevent deeper cooling to 12°C or below. Ensemble spreads in short-range forecasts introduce modest uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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