Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 25 de agosto?
28°C 51%
22°C o menos 49%
32°C o más 48%
30°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C o menos
49%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
51%
29°C
2%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C o más
48%
28°C 51%
22°C o menos 49%
32°C o más 48%
30°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
51%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
46%
31°C
$5 Vol.
46%
32°C o más
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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