Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Qingdao el 24 de agosto?
22°C o menos 85%
32°C o más 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o menos
85%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C o más
46%
22°C o menos 85%
32°C o más 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$5 Vol.
85%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$17 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$18 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$5 Vol.
37%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
36%
31°C
$5 Vol.
36%
32°C o más
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$70Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$70Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC indicate Qingdao’s daily minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, is most likely to fall between 24–27°C, driven by typical late-summer coastal conditions in Shandong province where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling. Persistent humidity, light rain or thundershowers, and southerly winds are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping lows near the seasonal average of 23–25°C rather than allowing sharper drops. The market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below (43.5%) appears to reflect residual uncertainty around possible model shifts or localized cooling from overnight precipitation, while the 32°C-or-higher outcome (23.0%) likely tracks expectations for the daytime maximum. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance on steering patterns and any revisions to numerical weather prediction runs that could adjust the overnight minimum by 1–3°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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