Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 14 de septiembre?
19°C 42%
20°C 25%
18°C 21%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
21%
19°C
42%
20°C
25%
21°C
10%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
7%
19°C 42%
20°C 25%
18°C 21%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$317 Vol.
42%
20°C
$178 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C o más
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$494Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$494Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by partly cloudy to clearing skies that promote radiative cooling, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 11–13°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon stabilization limits sharp temperature drops absent any frontal passages. Updated runs through September 12 show limited ensemble spread around this range, reinforcing trader positioning on 19°C and 20°C as the highest-implied-probability outcomes while leaving modest room for 18°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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