Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7 around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (47.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%). Stable high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures are suppressing overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh recent stable runs heavily against the possibility of localized variability near the coast. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 7 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 68%
30°C o más 68%
25°C 54%
26°C 48%
20°C o menos
68%
21°C
15%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C
30%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C o más
68%
20°C o menos 68%
30°C o más 68%
25°C 54%
26°C 48%
20°C o menos
68%
21°C
15%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C
30%
25°C
49%
26°C
48%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C o más
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7 around 24–26°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (47.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%). Stable high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures are suppressing overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with early September climatology. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor revisions in wind or cloud cover could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh recent stable runs heavily against the possibility of localized variability near the coast. Updated model outputs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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