Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Light northerly to northeasterly winds and a frontal boundary crossing the region further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer nights earlier in the week. These conditions create a narrow window around 24–27 °C, with model consensus favoring values near 25–26 °C. Trader positioning on 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this tight spread and sensitivity to the precise timing of any heavier rain that could briefly alter the low. Updated JMA guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 27 de agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 20%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
12%
26°C
30%
27°C
37%
28°C
20%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 20%
25°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
21°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$672 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,466 Vol.
30%
27°C
$562 Vol.
37%
28°C
$297 Vol.
20%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Light northerly to northeasterly winds and a frontal boundary crossing the region further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer nights earlier in the week. These conditions create a narrow window around 24–27 °C, with model consensus favoring values near 25–26 °C. Trader positioning on 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this tight spread and sensitivity to the precise timing of any heavier rain that could briefly alter the low. Updated JMA guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,707Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Light northerly to northeasterly winds and a frontal boundary crossing the region further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer nights earlier in the week. These conditions create a narrow window around 24–27 °C, with model consensus favoring values near 25–26 °C. Trader positioning on 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this tight spread and sensitivity to the precise timing of any heavier rain that could briefly alter the low. Updated JMA guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,707Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo’s overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle in the mid-20s °C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Light northerly to northeasterly winds and a frontal boundary crossing the region further suppress temperature drops compared with clearer nights earlier in the week. These conditions create a narrow window around 24–27 °C, with model consensus favoring values near 25–26 °C. Trader positioning on 26 °C and 27 °C reflects this tight spread and sensitivity to the precise timing of any heavier rain that could briefly alter the low. Updated JMA guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will resolve the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes