Incumbent Ayanna Pressley’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in the Democratic Party for the MA-07 seat. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability. Pressley secured 97% of the vote in 2024 with no Republican on the ballot, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Her December 2025 decision to forgo a Senate run and seek another House term has further stabilized expectations. Limited filing activity and the absence of credible challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary reinforce the position. Only an extraordinary development, such as a late scandal or health-related withdrawal before November 3, 2026, could realistically alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MA-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$16,930 Vol.
$16,930 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$16,930 Vol.
$16,930 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,062 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$7,868 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ayanna Pressley’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in the Democratic Party for the MA-07 seat. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability. Pressley secured 97% of the vote in 2024 with no Republican on the ballot, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Her December 2025 decision to forgo a Senate run and seek another House term has further stabilized expectations. Limited filing activity and the absence of credible challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary reinforce the position. Only an extraordinary development, such as a late scandal or health-related withdrawal before November 3, 2026, could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$16,930Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ayanna Pressley’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in the Democratic Party for the MA-07 seat. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability. Pressley secured 97% of the vote in 2024 with no Republican on the ballot, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Her December 2025 decision to forgo a Senate run and seek another House term has further stabilized expectations. Limited filing activity and the absence of credible challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary reinforce the position. Only an extraordinary development, such as a late scandal or health-related withdrawal before November 3, 2026, could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,930Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ayanna Pressley’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in the Democratic Party for the MA-07 seat. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability. Pressley secured 97% of the vote in 2024 with no Republican on the ballot, and Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Her December 2025 decision to forgo a Senate run and seek another House term has further stabilized expectations. Limited filing activity and the absence of credible challengers ahead of the September 2026 primary reinforce the position. Only an extraordinary development, such as a late scandal or health-related withdrawal before November 3, 2026, could realistically alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes