Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 30%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
2%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
3%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
30%
≥4.4%
31%
≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 30%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
$269 Vol.
2%
3.4%
$115 Vol.
1%
3.5%
$511 Vol.
2%
3.6%
$286 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$240 Vol.
3%
3.8%
$234 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$258 Vol.
4%
4.0%
$361 Vol.
3%
4.1%
$1,348 Vol.
8%
4.2%
$1,386 Vol.
23%
4.3%
$572 Vol.
30%
≥4.4%
$1,796 Vol.
31%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volumen
$7,376Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$7,376Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a tight contest for May 2026 annual CPI, with ≥4.4% leading at 30.5%, 4.3% at 29.5%, and 4.2% at 23.0%, implying consensus around 4.3% amid heightened uncertainty from April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year print—the highest since May 2023. This surge, driven by a 17.9% energy price jump tied to Middle East oil disruptions from the Iran conflict and faster core CPI gains, has eroded disinflation momentum, prompting upward revisions in economist forecasts. Key swing factors include May shelter costs, base effects, and ongoing commodity volatility, with resolution hinging on the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release ahead of the next FOMC meeting. Prediction markets reflect real-capital bets on sticky inflation tempering rate-cut odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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