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icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
Geopolítica·Oriente Medio

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$124,402,671 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Polymarket

$124,402,671 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$2,549,102 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 27, 2026 Knesset election serves as the central driver for market views on Netanyahu’s tenure, functioning as a referendum on his handling of the Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran conflicts alongside longstanding corruption proceedings. Recent polling shows Likud trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Netanyahu’s broader bloc short of the 61 seats needed for a majority coalition, though historical patterns of coalition realignments and his stated intent to remain Likud leader even in opposition introduce uncertainty. Netanyahu’s upcoming UN General Assembly address and ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate right-wing support further inform trader assessments of near-term continuity versus potential post-election transitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,402,671
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The October 27, 2026 Knesset election serves as the central driver for market views on Netanyahu’s tenure, functioning as a referendum on his handling of the Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran conflicts alongside longstanding corruption proceedings. Recent polling shows Likud trailing Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Netanyahu’s broader bloc short of the 61 seats needed for a majority coalition, though historical patterns of coalition realignments and his stated intent to remain Likud leader even in opposition introduce uncertainty. Netanyahu’s upcoming UN General Assembly address and ongoing campaign efforts to consolidate right-wing support further inform trader assessments of near-term continuity versus potential post-election transitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$124,402,671
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 51%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" ha generado $124.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.