Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability of victory. New York’s strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results, combines with Hochul’s consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 10-11 points and her substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June primaries, and recent endorsements such as those from major firefighter unions have reinforced her position. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign polling volatility, major scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban battlegrounds, though current evidence points to a stable advantage for the incumbent through Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
$114,987 Vol.
$114,987 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
7%
$114,987 Vol.
$114,987 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kathy Hochul (D)
$49,735 Vol.
95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$65,253 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability of victory. New York’s strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results, combines with Hochul’s consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 10-11 points and her substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June primaries, and recent endorsements such as those from major firefighter unions have reinforced her position. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign polling volatility, major scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban battlegrounds, though current evidence points to a stable advantage for the incumbent through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$114,987Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability of victory. New York’s strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results, combines with Hochul’s consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 10-11 points and her substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June primaries, and recent endorsements such as those from major firefighter unions have reinforced her position. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign polling volatility, major scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban battlegrounds, though current evidence points to a stable advantage for the incumbent through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$114,987Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability of victory. New York’s strong Democratic lean, demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results, combines with Hochul’s consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 10-11 points and her substantial fundraising edge. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June primaries, and recent endorsements such as those from major firefighter unions have reinforced her position. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-campaign polling volatility, major scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban battlegrounds, though current evidence points to a stable advantage for the incumbent through Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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