Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the central driver of trader sentiment, with the frontier model announced at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout that slipped to July and still lacks a confirmed date as of mid-August. Google has instead shipped incremental Flash variants, including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro is in partner testing and that training has started on the subsequent Gemini 4 generation. These moves highlight Google's emphasis on agentic capabilities and cost-efficient scaling amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, with traders watching for any official preview or general availability signals that could resolve timing markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,088,931 Vol.
31 ago 2026
21 de agosto
2%
31 de agosto
13%
September 15
51%
September 30
51%
October 31
50%
$1,088,931 Vol.
21 de agosto
$123,849 Vol.
2%
31 de agosto
$283,544 Vol.
13%
September 15
$0 Vol.
51%
September 30
$0 Vol.
51%
October 31
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the central driver of trader sentiment, with the frontier model announced at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout that slipped to July and still lacks a confirmed date as of mid-August. Google has instead shipped incremental Flash variants, including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro is in partner testing and that training has started on the subsequent Gemini 4 generation. These moves highlight Google's emphasis on agentic capabilities and cost-efficient scaling amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, with traders watching for any official preview or general availability signals that could resolve timing markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volumen
$1,088,931Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the central driver of trader sentiment, with the frontier model announced at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout that slipped to July and still lacks a confirmed date as of mid-August. Google has instead shipped incremental Flash variants, including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro is in partner testing and that training has started on the subsequent Gemini 4 generation. These moves highlight Google's emphasis on agentic capabilities and cost-efficient scaling amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, with traders watching for any official preview or general availability signals that could resolve timing markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,088,931Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the central driver of trader sentiment, with the frontier model announced at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout that slipped to July and still lacks a confirmed date as of mid-August. Google has instead shipped incremental Flash variants, including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite in July plus 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming Gemini 3.5 Pro is in partner testing and that training has started on the subsequent Gemini 4 generation. These moves highlight Google's emphasis on agentic capabilities and cost-efficient scaling amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, with traders watching for any official preview or general availability signals that could resolve timing markets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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