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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia

Janez Janša 74%

Jernej Vrtovec 12.5%

Anže Logar 6.2%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,633,456 Vol.

Janez Janša 74%

Jernej Vrtovec 12.5%

Anže Logar 6.2%

Robert Golob 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,633,456 Vol.

¿Será Janez Janša el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Janez Janša

$668,070 Vol.

74%

¿Será Jernej Vrtovec el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Jernej Vrtovec

$71,442 Vol.

13%

¿Será Anže Logar el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Anže Logar

$953,584 Vol.

6%

¿Será Robert Golob el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Robert Golob

$618,390 Vol.

5%

¿Será Matej Tonin el próximo primer ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Matej Tonin

$11,458 Vol.

<1%

¿Será Zoran Stevanović el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Zoran Stevanović

$110,276 Vol.

<1%

¿Será Vladimir Prebilič el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$176,869 Vol.

<1%

¿Será Luka Mesec el próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Luka Mesec

$9,299 Vol.

<1%

¿Será Matjaž Han el próximo primer ministro de Eslovenia? icon

Matjaž Han

$14,316 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's razor-thin March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung parliament with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a plurality of 29 seats but no governing majority, trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša at 74% implied probability to become next prime minister amid center-right coalition momentum. The Slovenian Democratic Party leader's strong positioning stems from his party's near-top vote share, prior experience as three-time premier, and recent unity signals, including the center-right bloc's election of Zoran Stevanović as National Assembly speaker on April 11 using cross-party votes from SDS, New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), and Democrats (Anže Logar). President Nataša Pirc Musar is expected to issue the first mandate soon, with failure likely shifting to Janša; Golob's low odds reflect stalled broad coalition talks and lost prior allies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,633,456
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Slovenia's razor-thin March 22 parliamentary elections, which produced a hung parliament with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing a plurality of 29 seats but no governing majority, trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša at 74% implied probability to become next prime minister amid center-right coalition momentum. The Slovenian Democratic Party leader's strong positioning stems from his party's near-top vote share, prior experience as three-time premier, and recent unity signals, including the center-right bloc's election of Zoran Stevanović as National Assembly speaker on April 11 using cross-party votes from SDS, New Slovenia (led by Jernej Vrtovec), and Democrats (Anže Logar). President Nataša Pirc Musar is expected to issue the first mandate soon, with failure likely shifting to Janša; Golob's low odds reflect stalled broad coalition talks and lost prior allies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,633,456
Fecha de finalización
22 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Janez Janša" con 74%, seguido de "Jernej Vrtovec" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" ha generado $2.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" es "Janez Janša" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jernej Vrtovec" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Eslovenia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.