With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm first-round lead at 17.04%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino edges Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12.07% to 11.85%, driving trader consensus that López Aliaga secures third place (66.4% implied probability). Sánchez's late rural vote surge—strong in highland and Amazon regions—has narrowed his gap over López Aliaga, who dominated early urban tallies from Lima, but remaining 8% of ballots favor Sánchez's base, solidifying the order. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.06% with slim odds to overtake, amid fraud claims and logistical delays slowing final certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Rafael López Aliaga 66.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.9%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$582,868 Vol.
$582,868 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
33%
Jorge Nieto
1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 66.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.9%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$582,868 Vol.
$582,868 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$125,605 Vol.
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$104,880 Vol.
33%
Jorge Nieto
$116,559 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$51,590 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$10,351 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$8,597 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$8,988 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$8,577 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$14,605 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$8,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$11,778 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$8,550 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$11,161 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$9,308 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,215 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$9,949 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$12,081 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm first-round lead at 17.04%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino edges Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12.07% to 11.85%, driving trader consensus that López Aliaga secures third place (66.4% implied probability). Sánchez's late rural vote surge—strong in highland and Amazon regions—has narrowed his gap over López Aliaga, who dominated early urban tallies from Lima, but remaining 8% of ballots favor Sánchez's base, solidifying the order. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.06% with slim odds to overtake, amid fraud claims and logistical delays slowing final certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$582,868Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm first-round lead at 17.04%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino edges Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12.07% to 11.85%, driving trader consensus that López Aliaga secures third place (66.4% implied probability). Sánchez's late rural vote surge—strong in highland and Amazon regions—has narrowed his gap over López Aliaga, who dominated early urban tallies from Lima, but remaining 8% of ballots favor Sánchez's base, solidifying the order. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.06% with slim odds to overtake, amid fraud claims and logistical delays slowing final certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$582,868Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori holds a firm first-round lead at 17.04%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino edges Rafael López Aliaga for second at 12.07% to 11.85%, driving trader consensus that López Aliaga secures third place (66.4% implied probability). Sánchez's late rural vote surge—strong in highland and Amazon regions—has narrowed his gap over López Aliaga, who dominated early urban tallies from Lima, but remaining 8% of ballots favor Sánchez's base, solidifying the order. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.06% with slim odds to overtake, amid fraud claims and logistical delays slowing final certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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