With over 90% of ballots tallied by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12 first-round presidential vote, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, leaving a tight contest for second between Rafael López Aliaga (roughly 12%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (11-12%). Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third place at 66% implied probability, reflecting Sánchez's surge in slower-counting rural regions where he leads, per Ipsos projections and partial ONPE updates that have narrowed the gap since exit polls showed Aliaga ahead. Disputes over counting delays and fraud claims add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the potential June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Rafael López Aliaga 66.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 33.1%
Jorge Nieto 1.3%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$582,792 Vol.
$582,792 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
33%
Jorge Nieto
1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 66.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 33.1%
Jorge Nieto 1.3%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$582,792 Vol.
$582,792 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$125,595 Vol.
66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$104,803 Vol.
33%
Jorge Nieto
$116,559 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$51,590 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$10,351 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$8,597 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$8,988 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$8,577 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$14,605 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$8,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$11,778 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$8,550 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$11,161 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$9,308 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,215 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$9,949 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$12,081 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 90% of ballots tallied by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12 first-round presidential vote, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, leaving a tight contest for second between Rafael López Aliaga (roughly 12%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (11-12%). Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third place at 66% implied probability, reflecting Sánchez's surge in slower-counting rural regions where he leads, per Ipsos projections and partial ONPE updates that have narrowed the gap since exit polls showed Aliaga ahead. Disputes over counting delays and fraud claims add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$582,792Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 90% of ballots tallied by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12 first-round presidential vote, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, leaving a tight contest for second between Rafael López Aliaga (roughly 12%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (11-12%). Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third place at 66% implied probability, reflecting Sánchez's surge in slower-counting rural regions where he leads, per Ipsos projections and partial ONPE updates that have narrowed the gap since exit polls showed Aliaga ahead. Disputes over counting delays and fraud claims add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$582,792Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of ballots tallied by Peru's National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) following the April 12 first-round presidential vote, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, leaving a tight contest for second between Rafael López Aliaga (roughly 12%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (11-12%). Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third place at 66% implied probability, reflecting Sánchez's surge in slower-counting rural regions where he leads, per Ipsos projections and partial ONPE updates that have narrowed the gap since exit polls showed Aliaga ahead. Disputes over counting delays and fraud claims add uncertainty ahead of full certification and the potential June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes