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Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

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Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar

Jorge Nieto 99.0%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Polymarket

$403,420 Vol.

Jorge Nieto 99.0%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Polymarket

$403,420 Vol.

¿Terminará Jorge Nieto en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Jorge Nieto

$48,860 Vol.

99%

¿Terminará Ricardo Belmont en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Ricardo Belmont

$216,486 Vol.

1%

¿Rafael López Aliaga terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Rafael López Aliaga

$49,744 Vol.

<1%

¿Roberto Sánchez Palomino terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$47,619 Vol.

<1%

¿Keiko Fujimori terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Keiko Fujimori

$1,914 Vol.

<1%

¿Carlos Álvarez terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Carlos Álvarez

$5,009 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Alfonso López Chau en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Alfonso López Chau

$7,957 Vol.

<1%

¿José Luna terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

José Luna

$706 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Roberto Chiabra en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Roberto Chiabra

$1,004 Vol.

<1%

¿José Williams terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

José Williams

$5,052 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Carlos Espá en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Carlos Espá

$2,562 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Yonhy Lescano en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Yonhy Lescano

$1,570 Vol.

<1%

¿Marisol Pérez Tello terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,678 Vol.

<1%

¿Mario Vizcarra terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Mario Vizcarra

$1,235 Vol.

<1%

¿César Acuña terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

César Acuña

$697 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Vladimir Cerrón en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Vladimir Cerrón

$501 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará George Forsyth en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

George Forsyth

$1,246 Vol.

<1%

¿Enrique Valderrama terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Enrique Valderrama

$4,462 Vol.

<1%

¿Fiorella Molinelli terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Fiorella Molinelli

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

¿Fernando Olivera terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Fernando Olivera

$746 Vol.

<1%

¿Rafael Belaúnde Llosa terminará en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$651 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Mesías Guevara en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales peruanas de 2026? icon

Mesías Guevara

$1,342 Vol.

<1%

¿Terminará Wolfgang Grozo en cuarto lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú de 2026? icon

Wolfgang Grozo

$1,200 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto commands 99% trader consensus for fourth place in Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election held April 12-13, driven by official ONPE tallies exceeding 92% that place him behind frontrunners Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and Rafael López Aliaga or Ricardo Belmont, with a clear gap over trailing candidates among the 35 contenders. Pre-election polls from Ipsos and CPI showed Nieto surging to fourth or fifth amid voter fragmentation and his strong debate performances activating youth support, while exit polls pegged him near 11-12%, aligning with counts despite logistical delays sparking fraud claims without evidence. With rural votes largely processed, only major recounts or court rulings could displace him. A June 7 runoff looms between top two.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$403,420
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Jorge Nieto commands 99% trader consensus for fourth place in Peru's fragmented first-round presidential election held April 12-13, driven by official ONPE tallies exceeding 92% that place him behind frontrunners Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez Palomino, and Rafael López Aliaga or Ricardo Belmont, with a clear gap over trailing candidates among the 35 contenders. Pre-election polls from Ipsos and CPI showed Nieto surging to fourth or fifth amid voter fragmentation and his strong debate performances activating youth support, while exit polls pegged him near 11-12%, aligning with counts despite logistical delays sparking fraud claims without evidence. With rural votes largely processed, only major recounts or court rulings could displace him. A June 7 runoff looms between top two.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$403,420
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jorge Nieto" con 99%, seguido de "Ricardo Belmont" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" ha generado $403.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" es "Jorge Nieto" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ricardo Belmont" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.