Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw vote counting by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) reach over 92% of actas, positioning Jorge Nieto solidly in fourth place behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates. This stability, consistent with exit polls and post-debate surges from Nieto's youth-focused campaign, drives the 99% trader consensus, as gaps to fifth-place Ricardo Belmont exceed remaining rural, abroad, and pending votes. While fraud claims from rivals have slowed tallies, scenarios challenging this include disproportionate shifts in the 7% uncounted actas or JEE reviews of impugned ballots prompting recounts before JNE proclamation and potential June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 4to lugar
Jorge Nieto 99.0%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$403,408 Vol.
$403,408 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Jorge Nieto 99.0%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Rafael López Aliaga <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
$403,408 Vol.
$403,408 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw vote counting by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) reach over 92% of actas, positioning Jorge Nieto solidly in fourth place behind Keiko Fujimori, Roberto Sánchez, and Rafael López Aliaga amid a fragmented field of over 35 candidates. This stability, consistent with exit polls and post-debate surges from Nieto's youth-focused campaign, drives the 99% trader consensus, as gaps to fifth-place Ricardo Belmont exceed remaining rural, abroad, and pending votes. While fraud claims from rivals have slowed tallies, scenarios challenging this include disproportionate shifts in the 7% uncounted actas or JEE reviews of impugned ballots prompting recounts before JNE proclamation and potential June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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