Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability for Peru's first-round presidential election held April 12-13, reflecting widespread logistical failures that disenfranchised voters, including a contractor's failure to deliver ballots to thousands of stations, delays opening 13% of Lima polling sites by mid-afternoon (where 30% of electorate resides), power outages, and new software glitches prompting extended voting hours into Monday. These issues exacerbated voter apathy amid a decade of political instability with multiple impeachments, echoing the 2021 first-round's approximately 70% turnout despite compulsory voting. Preliminary ONPE actas processing and Ipsos exit polls suggesting over 81% participation show discrepancies, but traders anticipate final figures in the mid-70s range pending full count.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado70-75% 83.5%
75-80% 14%
80-85% 2.1%
< 70% 1.5%
$126,785 Vol.
$126,785 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
2%
70-75%
84%
75-80%
14%
80-85%
2%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 83.5%
75-80% 14%
80-85% 2.1%
< 70% 1.5%
$126,785 Vol.
$126,785 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
$18,977 Vol.
2%
70-75%
$35,254 Vol.
84%
75-80%
$19,654 Vol.
14%
80-85%
$44,891 Vol.
2%
> 85%
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability for Peru's first-round presidential election held April 12-13, reflecting widespread logistical failures that disenfranchised voters, including a contractor's failure to deliver ballots to thousands of stations, delays opening 13% of Lima polling sites by mid-afternoon (where 30% of electorate resides), power outages, and new software glitches prompting extended voting hours into Monday. These issues exacerbated voter apathy amid a decade of political instability with multiple impeachments, echoing the 2021 first-round's approximately 70% turnout despite compulsory voting. Preliminary ONPE actas processing and Ipsos exit polls suggesting over 81% participation show discrepancies, but traders anticipate final figures in the mid-70s range pending full count.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volumen
$126,785Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability for Peru's first-round presidential election held April 12-13, reflecting widespread logistical failures that disenfranchised voters, including a contractor's failure to deliver ballots to thousands of stations, delays opening 13% of Lima polling sites by mid-afternoon (where 30% of electorate resides), power outages, and new software glitches prompting extended voting hours into Monday. These issues exacerbated voter apathy amid a decade of political instability with multiple impeachments, echoing the 2021 first-round's approximately 70% turnout despite compulsory voting. Preliminary ONPE actas processing and Ipsos exit polls suggesting over 81% participation show discrepancies, but traders anticipate final figures in the mid-70s range pending full count.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$126,785Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83% implied probability for Peru's first-round presidential election held April 12-13, reflecting widespread logistical failures that disenfranchised voters, including a contractor's failure to deliver ballots to thousands of stations, delays opening 13% of Lima polling sites by mid-afternoon (where 30% of electorate resides), power outages, and new software glitches prompting extended voting hours into Monday. These issues exacerbated voter apathy amid a decade of political instability with multiple impeachments, echoing the 2021 first-round's approximately 70% turnout despite compulsory voting. Preliminary ONPE actas processing and Ipsos exit polls suggesting over 81% participation show discrepancies, but traders anticipate final figures in the mid-70s range pending full count.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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