Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 78.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting preliminary ONPE tallies around 68-70% with over 91% of actas processed amid widespread logistical chaos—ballot delivery failures forced extensions for tens of thousands, frustrating voters and suppressing participation below the 81% historical average. A decade of political instability, frequent impeachments, and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy despite high concerns over crime and corruption, while overseas turnout rose to 40%. Final figures from the National Jury of Elections (JNE) could adjust slightly with remaining rural actas, ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado70-75% 77.1%
75-80% 22%
80-85% 2.2%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,095 Vol.
$130,095 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
1%
70-75%
77%
75-80%
22%
80-85%
2%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 77.1%
75-80% 22%
80-85% 2.2%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,095 Vol.
$130,095 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
$19,098 Vol.
1%
70-75%
$35,657 Vol.
77%
75-80%
$20,267 Vol.
22%
80-85%
$47,043 Vol.
2%
> 85%
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 78.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting preliminary ONPE tallies around 68-70% with over 91% of actas processed amid widespread logistical chaos—ballot delivery failures forced extensions for tens of thousands, frustrating voters and suppressing participation below the 81% historical average. A decade of political instability, frequent impeachments, and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy despite high concerns over crime and corruption, while overseas turnout rose to 40%. Final figures from the National Jury of Elections (JNE) could adjust slightly with remaining rural actas, ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volumen
$130,095Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 78.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting preliminary ONPE tallies around 68-70% with over 91% of actas processed amid widespread logistical chaos—ballot delivery failures forced extensions for tens of thousands, frustrating voters and suppressing participation below the 81% historical average. A decade of political instability, frequent impeachments, and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy despite high concerns over crime and corruption, while overseas turnout rose to 40%. Final figures from the National Jury of Elections (JNE) could adjust slightly with remaining rural actas, ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$130,095Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 78.5% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting preliminary ONPE tallies around 68-70% with over 91% of actas processed amid widespread logistical chaos—ballot delivery failures forced extensions for tens of thousands, frustrating voters and suppressing participation below the 81% historical average. A decade of political instability, frequent impeachments, and a fragmented 35-candidate field fueled apathy despite high concerns over crime and corruption, while overseas turnout rose to 40%. Final figures from the National Jury of Elections (JNE) could adjust slightly with remaining rural actas, ahead of a likely June 7 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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