Logistical failures marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with ballot shortages forcing a second-day extension for tens of thousands of voters at affected stations, fueling trader consensus for 70-75% turnout at 78% implied probability. Ipsos exit polls estimated 81.3% participation—surpassing 2021's 70% amid compulsory voting—but skepticism persists as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 93% of actas tabulated, projecting totals consistent with historical norms around 74% given voter disillusionment from prolonged instability and a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Final ONPE certification will resolve the market, potentially swayed by overseas and rural tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado70-75% 77.5%
75-80% 16%
80-85% 2.3%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,102 Vol.
$130,102 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
1%
70-75%
78%
75-80%
16%
80-85%
2%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 77.5%
75-80% 16%
80-85% 2.3%
> 85% 1.2%
$130,102 Vol.
$130,102 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
$19,098 Vol.
1%
70-75%
$35,664 Vol.
78%
75-80%
$20,267 Vol.
16%
80-85%
$47,043 Vol.
2%
> 85%
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical failures marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with ballot shortages forcing a second-day extension for tens of thousands of voters at affected stations, fueling trader consensus for 70-75% turnout at 78% implied probability. Ipsos exit polls estimated 81.3% participation—surpassing 2021's 70% amid compulsory voting—but skepticism persists as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 93% of actas tabulated, projecting totals consistent with historical norms around 74% given voter disillusionment from prolonged instability and a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Final ONPE certification will resolve the market, potentially swayed by overseas and rural tallies.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volumen
$130,102Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical failures marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with ballot shortages forcing a second-day extension for tens of thousands of voters at affected stations, fueling trader consensus for 70-75% turnout at 78% implied probability. Ipsos exit polls estimated 81.3% participation—surpassing 2021's 70% amid compulsory voting—but skepticism persists as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 93% of actas tabulated, projecting totals consistent with historical norms around 74% given voter disillusionment from prolonged instability and a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Final ONPE certification will resolve the market, potentially swayed by overseas and rural tallies.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$130,102Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Logistical failures marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, with ballot shortages forcing a second-day extension for tens of thousands of voters at affected stations, fueling trader consensus for 70-75% turnout at 78% implied probability. Ipsos exit polls estimated 81.3% participation—surpassing 2021's 70% amid compulsory voting—but skepticism persists as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 93% of actas tabulated, projecting totals consistent with historical norms around 74% given voter disillusionment from prolonged instability and a fragmented field of 35 candidates. Final ONPE certification will resolve the market, potentially swayed by overseas and rural tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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