With over 92% of first-round ballots counted from Peru's April 12 general election—delayed by logistical issues in Lima and overseas—Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead at around 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff as the conservative frontrunner with Fuerza Popular. Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú has surged into second place at roughly 12% in recent tallies, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular, whose right-wing support fragmented the vote. Trader consensus reflects Fujimori's 63.5% implied probability of ultimate victory, driven by her name recognition, loyal base in battleground regions, and historical runoff trends favoring first-round leaders, while Sánchez's rural gains and López Aliaga's urban strength position them as viable but underdog challengers amid unsubstantiated fraud claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Keiko Fujimori 64%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 19.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$32,451,533 Vol.
$32,451,533 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
64%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
20%
Rafael López Aliaga
16%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 64%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 19.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$32,451,533 Vol.
$32,451,533 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
64%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
20%
Rafael López Aliaga
16%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With over 92% of first-round ballots counted from Peru's April 12 general election—delayed by logistical issues in Lima and overseas—Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead at around 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff as the conservative frontrunner with Fuerza Popular. Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú has surged into second place at roughly 12% in recent tallies, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular, whose right-wing support fragmented the vote. Trader consensus reflects Fujimori's 63.5% implied probability of ultimate victory, driven by her name recognition, loyal base in battleground regions, and historical runoff trends favoring first-round leaders, while Sánchez's rural gains and López Aliaga's urban strength position them as viable but underdog challengers amid unsubstantiated fraud claims.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes