The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his May 2026 mayoral victory. Centre-left parties have consolidated behind independent cardiologist Frank Benedetto, whose hospital leadership and prior local role provide a unified “campo largo” platform. The centre-right fields Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli backed by the FI-FdI-Lega coalition, while Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano further fragment right-leaning support. Trader pricing reflects this split on the right, Benedetto’s consolidated backing, and the short campaign window ahead of voting across 71 municipalities, leaving room for last-minute turnout or alliance shifts to alter the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrank Benedetto 57%
Fabio Roscioli 40%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 17%

Frank Benedetto
57%

Fabio Roscioli
40%

Domenico Giannetta
25%

Francesco Toscano
17%
Frank Benedetto 57%
Fabio Roscioli 40%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 17%

Frank Benedetto
57%

Fabio Roscioli
40%

Domenico Giannetta
25%

Francesco Toscano
17%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Fuente de resolución
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency follows Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his May 2026 mayoral victory. Centre-left parties have consolidated behind independent cardiologist Frank Benedetto, whose hospital leadership and prior local role provide a unified “campo largo” platform. The centre-right fields Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli backed by the FI-FdI-Lega coalition, while Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano further fragment right-leaning support. Trader pricing reflects this split on the right, Benedetto’s consolidated backing, and the short campaign window ahead of voting across 71 municipalities, leaving room for last-minute turnout or alliance shifts to alter the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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