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Política·Expulsar

¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?

Market icon
Política·Expulsar

¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?

Sí

71% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

71% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability that Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) will no longer hold her Florida's 20th District House seat by May 31, driven by a bipartisan House Ethics subcommittee's March 27 finding of guilt on 25 of 27 violations, including campaign finance misconduct tied to her federal indictment for allegedly misusing $5 million in FEMA funds. Multiple House Democrats have called for her resignation or expulsion, while she has ruled out stepping down; Speaker Johnson recently signaled readiness for a floor vote. The full Ethics Committee hearing on April 21 will recommend sanctions, potentially triggering expulsion requiring a two-thirds House vote, amid historical rarity but bipartisan pressure elevating exit risks before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,874
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 72% implied probability that Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) will no longer hold her Florida's 20th District House seat by May 31, driven by a bipartisan House Ethics subcommittee's March 27 finding of guilt on 25 of 27 violations, including campaign finance misconduct tied to her federal indictment for allegedly misusing $5 million in FEMA funds. Multiple House Democrats have called for her resignation or expulsion, while she has ruled out stepping down; Speaker Johnson recently signaled readiness for a floor vote. The full Ethics Committee hearing on April 21 will recommend sanctions, potentially triggering expulsion requiring a two-thirds House vote, amid historical rarity but bipartisan pressure elevating exit risks before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,874
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick fuera como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" con 71%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" es "¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick fuera como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick como representante de EE. UU. antes del 31 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.