Tracking estimates from industry analysts project The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third-weekend domestic box office at $35-45 million, driving overwhelming trader consensus (95.3% implied probability) for under $44 million amid post-Easter normalization. Following a front-loaded $132 million five-day opening and $68 million sophomore frame (-48% drop), sharp weekday declines—like $2.9 million on April 13 from 4,284 theaters—signal limited legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stronger hold. Mixed reviews (44% Rotten Tomatoes) curb broader word-of-mouth despite an A- CinemaScore and family appeal. Realistic upsets hinge on repeat viewings boosting the upper tracking range past $45 million, though competition from new releases like The Mummy caps upside potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3er fin de semana de taquilla
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3er fin de semana de taquilla
<44m 95.2%
44-48 millones 3.8%
>52 millones <1%
48-52 millones <1%
$38,381 Vol.
$38,381 Vol.
<44m
95%
44-48 millones
4%
48-52 millones
<1%
>52 millones
1%
<44m 95.2%
44-48 millones 3.8%
>52 millones <1%
48-52 millones <1%
$38,381 Vol.
$38,381 Vol.
<44m
95%
44-48 millones
4%
48-52 millones
<1%
>52 millones
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tracking estimates from industry analysts project The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third-weekend domestic box office at $35-45 million, driving overwhelming trader consensus (95.3% implied probability) for under $44 million amid post-Easter normalization. Following a front-loaded $132 million five-day opening and $68 million sophomore frame (-48% drop), sharp weekday declines—like $2.9 million on April 13 from 4,284 theaters—signal limited legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stronger hold. Mixed reviews (44% Rotten Tomatoes) curb broader word-of-mouth despite an A- CinemaScore and family appeal. Realistic upsets hinge on repeat viewings boosting the upper tracking range past $45 million, though competition from new releases like The Mummy caps upside potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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