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Política·Canadá

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Política·Canadá

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Olivia Chow 77%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

John Tory 2.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Olivia Chow

$4,078 Vol.

77%

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Brad Bradford

$715 Vol.

11%

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Ana Bailão

$1,972 Vol.

6%

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

John Tory

$311 Vol.

3%

Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Kevin Clarke

$383 Vol.

2%

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Michael Ford

$1,031 Vol.

2%

Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Anthony Furey

$410 Vol.

1%

Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Marco Mendicino

$331 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 municipal election, bolstered by March 2026 polls showing her leads of 35-44% over challengers amid high undecided rates around 25%. Former Mayor John Tory's early March decision not to run consolidated support behind Chow, while Michael Ford's subsequent withdrawal further cleared the field, elevating Councillor Brad Bradford to second at 11% as the primary alternative with 26-34% polling. Ana Bailão trails at 6%, reflecting her prior 2023 runner-up status but limited momentum, as fringe candidates like Kevin Clarke and Anthony Furey linger below 3%. Incumbency advantage and absence of a unified opposition sustain Chow's dominance, though voter concerns over housing and transit could shift dynamics ahead of nominations.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volumen
$9,231
Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 municipal election, bolstered by March 2026 polls showing her leads of 35-44% over challengers amid high undecided rates around 25%. Former Mayor John Tory's early March decision not to run consolidated support behind Chow, while Michael Ford's subsequent withdrawal further cleared the field, elevating Councillor Brad Bradford to second at 11% as the primary alternative with 26-34% polling. Ana Bailão trails at 6%, reflecting her prior 2023 runner-up status but limited momentum, as fringe candidates like Kevin Clarke and Anthony Furey linger below 3%. Incumbency advantage and absence of a unified opposition sustain Chow's dominance, though voter concerns over housing and transit could shift dynamics ahead of nominations.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volumen
$9,231
Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Olivia Chow" con 77%, seguido de "Brad Bradford" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" es "Olivia Chow" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Brad Bradford" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.