Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating around 39% by April 10, reflecting recent polling averages from Silver Bulletin and CNN Poll of Polls hovering in the late 30s, with the first sub-40% reading in his second term on April 1 amid the Iran war's escalation. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years, rising mortgage rates, and a new low economy approval net of -23 have driven the dip, eroding support even among Republicans and Gen Z voters. The tight clustering across 38.5–40.4% bins signals stability over the short seven-day window, barring fresh economic data, war developments, or presidential addresses that could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on the Silver Bulletin average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 29%
40.0–40.4 27%
40.5+ 23%
<38.5
14%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0–40.4
27%
40.5+
23%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.5–38.9 29%
40.0–40.4 27%
40.5+ 23%
<38.5
14%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0–40.4
27%
40.5+
23%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating around 39% by April 10, reflecting recent polling averages from Silver Bulletin and CNN Poll of Polls hovering in the late 30s, with the first sub-40% reading in his second term on April 1 amid the Iran war's escalation. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time in four years, rising mortgage rates, and a new low economy approval net of -23 have driven the dip, eroding support even among Republicans and Gen Z voters. The tight clustering across 38.5–40.4% bins signals stability over the short seven-day window, barring fresh economic data, war developments, or presidential addresses that could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on the Silver Bulletin average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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