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Política·Trump

Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump). President Trump's early April Truth Social posts of AI-generated images—one depicting him in Jesus-like robes (quickly deleted amid backlash from Christian allies and claims it showed him as a doctor) and another of Jesus embracing him—sparked widespread criticism, including from MAGA supporters and amid tensions with Pope Leo. With no additional such imagery shared in the 10 days since the April 15 post and only two weeks left in the month, traders' 95.7% implied probability on "No" reflects confidence in restraint driven by political sensitivity toward evangelical voters and base cohesion. Realistic shifts could stem from impulsive reposts of viral memes or escalating Vatican disputes, though institutional pressures favor avoidance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required.

For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted.

The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).
Volumen
$1,529
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump). President Trump's early April Truth Social posts of AI-generated images—one depicting him in Jesus-like robes (quickly deleted amid backlash from Christian allies and claims it showed him as a doctor) and another of Jesus embracing him—sparked widespread criticism, including from MAGA supporters and amid tensions with Pope Leo. With no additional such imagery shared in the 10 days since the April 15 post and only two weeks left in the month, traders' 95.7% implied probability on "No" reflects confidence in restraint driven by political sensitivity toward evangelical voters and base cohesion. Realistic shifts could stem from impulsive reposts of viral memes or escalating Vatican disputes, though institutional pressures favor avoidance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required.

For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted.

The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).
Volumen
$1,658
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump posts an image on his official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump) depicting himself as Jesus Christ by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An image will be considered to depict Trump as Jesus Christ if it reasonably depicts Trump as Christ, including through accompanying text, recognizable iconography (e.g. a halo, crucifix, wearing robes with divine light emanating from his body), or other contextual elements commonly understood to indicate a depiction of Jesus Christ. Confirmation from Donald Trump that a posted image depicts Trump as Christ is not required. For example, the image posted by Trump on April 12, 2026, would have counted. The primary resolution source for this market will be images posted on Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.