Amid ongoing US-Iran hostilities and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire next week, Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement around April 11-13, marking the first direct diplomatic engagement in decades between US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Iranian officials including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. Sticking points included Iran's nuclear program, the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Israel-Lebanon tensions. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva, as Pakistani leaders conduct shuttle diplomacy in Tehran and Doha. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against escalation risks ahead of potential negotiations this week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
$1,227,537 Vol.
30 abr 2026
16 de abril
1%
17 de abril
2%
18 de abril
7%
22 de abril
65%
30 de abril
89%
$1,227,537 Vol.
16 de abril
$105,088 Vol.
1%
17 de abril
$64,289 Vol.
2%
18 de abril
$614,034 Vol.
7%
22 de abril
$239,196 Vol.
65%
30 de abril
$130,523 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran hostilities and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire next week, Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement around April 11-13, marking the first direct diplomatic engagement in decades between US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Iranian officials including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. Sticking points included Iran's nuclear program, the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Israel-Lebanon tensions. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva, as Pakistani leaders conduct shuttle diplomacy in Tehran and Doha. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against escalation risks ahead of potential negotiations this week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Volumen
$1,227,537Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Iran hostilities and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire next week, Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement around April 11-13, marking the first direct diplomatic engagement in decades between US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Iranian officials including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. Sticking points included Iran's nuclear program, the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Israel-Lebanon tensions. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva, as Pakistani leaders conduct shuttle diplomacy in Tehran and Doha. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against escalation risks ahead of potential negotiations this week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,227,537Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing US-Iran hostilities and a fragile two-week ceasefire set to expire next week, Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement around April 11-13, marking the first direct diplomatic engagement in decades between US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and Iranian officials including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. Sticking points included Iran's nuclear program, the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Israel-Lebanon tensions. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva, as Pakistani leaders conduct shuttle diplomacy in Tehran and Doha. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against escalation risks ahead of potential negotiations this week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes