Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde lloverá el 10 de agosto?
¿Dónde lloverá el 10 de agosto?
Singapur
50%
Yakarta
50%
Mumbai
50%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
50%
Lagos
51%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
51%
Seúl (Incheon)
49%
Taipéi
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
51%
London
49%
Dubái
50%
São Paulo
50%
Sídney
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Singapur
50%
Yakarta
50%
Mumbai
50%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
50%
Lagos
51%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
51%
Seúl (Incheon)
49%
Taipéi
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
51%
London
49%
Dubái
50%
São Paulo
50%
Sídney
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Fuente de resolución
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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