National Weather Service and NOAA short-range forecasts highlight abundant Gulf of Mexico moisture and a persistent trough of low pressure as the main drivers of scattered thunderstorms and measurable rain on September 5, 2026, concentrated across the Southeast, Florida, and Gulf Coast states where afternoon PoP values reach 40-80%. Weak disturbances traveling along the trough, combined with high dew points and heat indices above 100°F, favor convective development during peak heating hours. In contrast, the Northeast sees a cooler air mass limiting activity, while the Southwest contends with separate monsoonal moisture. Traders monitoring market-implied odds should watch the next NWS model runs and local office updates, which refine precipitation timing and amounts critical to resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde lloverá el 5 de septiembre?
Nueva York, NY
51%
Los Ángeles, CA
51%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
51%
Filadelfia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
Nueva Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Nueva York, NY
51%
Los Ángeles, CA
51%
Chicago, IL
51%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
51%
Filadelfia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
Nueva Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fuente de resolución
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCResolver
0x65070BE91...National Weather Service and NOAA short-range forecasts highlight abundant Gulf of Mexico moisture and a persistent trough of low pressure as the main drivers of scattered thunderstorms and measurable rain on September 5, 2026, concentrated across the Southeast, Florida, and Gulf Coast states where afternoon PoP values reach 40-80%. Weak disturbances traveling along the trough, combined with high dew points and heat indices above 100°F, favor convective development during peak heating hours. In contrast, the Northeast sees a cooler air mass limiting activity, while the Southwest contends with separate monsoonal moisture. Traders monitoring market-implied odds should watch the next NWS model runs and local office updates, which refine precipitation timing and amounts critical to resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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