Ongoing delays in Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count, now at over 92% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 16, position Keiko Fujimori firmly in first place at around 17%, while a razor-thin contest for second pits Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%), separated by fewer than 10,000 votes. Rural regions like Cajamarca, slower to report and Sánchez strongholds, have narrowed Aliaga's early urban lead, fueling trader bets on "Other" outcomes at 65% implied probability amid fraud claims from Aliaga without evidence and thousands of impugned ballots awaiting JNE resolution. Pre-election polls favoring Fujimori-Aliaga have fragmented, heightening uncertainty for the June 7 runoff between the top two candidates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
Otro 65.1%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 35%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$992,445 Vol.
$992,445 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Otro
65%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
35%
Fujimori y Nieto
1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
<1%
Otro 65.1%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 35%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$992,445 Vol.
$992,445 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Otro
$251,507 Vol.
65%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
$328,853 Vol.
35%
Fujimori y Nieto
$199,100 Vol.
1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
$24,017 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
$32,793 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
$67,800 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
$16,487 Vol.
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
$24,264 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
$37,670 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
$9,953 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Ongoing delays in Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count, now at over 92% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 16, position Keiko Fujimori firmly in first place at around 17%, while a razor-thin contest for second pits Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%), separated by fewer than 10,000 votes. Rural regions like Cajamarca, slower to report and Sánchez strongholds, have narrowed Aliaga's early urban lead, fueling trader bets on "Other" outcomes at 65% implied probability amid fraud claims from Aliaga without evidence and thousands of impugned ballots awaiting JNE resolution. Pre-election polls favoring Fujimori-Aliaga have fragmented, heightening uncertainty for the June 7 runoff between the top two candidates.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volumen
$992,445Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Ongoing delays in Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count, now at over 92% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 16, position Keiko Fujimori firmly in first place at around 17%, while a razor-thin contest for second pits Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%), separated by fewer than 10,000 votes. Rural regions like Cajamarca, slower to report and Sánchez strongholds, have narrowed Aliaga's early urban lead, fueling trader bets on "Other" outcomes at 65% implied probability amid fraud claims from Aliaga without evidence and thousands of impugned ballots awaiting JNE resolution. Pre-election polls favoring Fujimori-Aliaga have fragmented, heightening uncertainty for the June 7 runoff between the top two candidates.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$992,445Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing delays in Peru's 2026 presidential first-round vote count, now at over 92% of actas processed by ONPE as of April 16, position Keiko Fujimori firmly in first place at around 17%, while a razor-thin contest for second pits Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%), separated by fewer than 10,000 votes. Rural regions like Cajamarca, slower to report and Sánchez strongholds, have narrowed Aliaga's early urban lead, fueling trader bets on "Other" outcomes at 65% implied probability amid fraud claims from Aliaga without evidence and thousands of impugned ballots awaiting JNE resolution. Pre-election polls favoring Fujimori-Aliaga have fragmented, heightening uncertainty for the June 7 runoff between the top two candidates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes