Keiko Fujimori holds a solid first-place lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, per ONPE tallies at nearly 80% of actas processed as of April 16, but the razor-thin contest for second—Rafael López Aliaga at 12.5%, Jorge Nieto at 11.7%, and Roberto Sánchez surging—fuels trader consensus on "Other" pairings at 62.4%. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery delays in Lima that disenfranchised thousands and extended voting into April 13, plus fraud allegations from López Aliaga demanding annulment, heighten uncertainty over the top two advancing to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls had flagged a fragmented field with over 30 candidates, amplifying volatility in this skin-in-the-game market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?
Otro 62.7%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 29%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$999,987 Vol.
$999,987 Vol.
Otro
63%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
29%
Fujimori y Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
<1%
Otro 62.7%
López Aliaga y Fujimori 29%
Fujimori y Nieto <1%
López Aliaga y López Chau <1%
$999,987 Vol.
$999,987 Vol.
Otro
63%
López Aliaga y Fujimori
29%
Fujimori y Nieto
<1%
López Aliaga y López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Fujimori
<1%
López Chau y Nieto
<1%
López Chau y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga y Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a solid first-place lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, per ONPE tallies at nearly 80% of actas processed as of April 16, but the razor-thin contest for second—Rafael López Aliaga at 12.5%, Jorge Nieto at 11.7%, and Roberto Sánchez surging—fuels trader consensus on "Other" pairings at 62.4%. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery delays in Lima that disenfranchised thousands and extended voting into April 13, plus fraud allegations from López Aliaga demanding annulment, heighten uncertainty over the top two advancing to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls had flagged a fragmented field with over 30 candidates, amplifying volatility in this skin-in-the-game market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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