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¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?

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¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?

Otro 62.7%

López Aliaga y Fujimori 29%

Fujimori y Nieto <1%

López Aliaga y López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$999,987 Vol.

Otro 62.7%

López Aliaga y Fujimori 29%

Fujimori y Nieto <1%

López Aliaga y López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$999,987 Vol.

Otro

$256,588 Vol.

63%

López Aliaga y Fujimori

$331,161 Vol.

29%

Fujimori y Nieto

$199,300 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga y López Chau

$24,017 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga y Nieto

$32,793 Vol.

<1%

López Chau y Fujimori

$67,800 Vol.

<1%

López Chau y Nieto

$16,487 Vol.

<1%

López Chau y Sánchez Palomino

$24,264 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga y Sánchez Palomino

$37,670 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga y Grozo

$9,953 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a solid first-place lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, per ONPE tallies at nearly 80% of actas processed as of April 16, but the razor-thin contest for second—Rafael López Aliaga at 12.5%, Jorge Nieto at 11.7%, and Roberto Sánchez surging—fuels trader consensus on "Other" pairings at 62.4%. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery delays in Lima that disenfranchised thousands and extended voting into April 13, plus fraud allegations from López Aliaga demanding annulment, heighten uncertainty over the top two advancing to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls had flagged a fragmented field with over 30 candidates, amplifying volatility in this skin-in-the-game market.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$999,987
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a solid first-place lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote, per ONPE tallies at nearly 80% of actas processed as of April 16, but the razor-thin contest for second—Rafael López Aliaga at 12.5%, Jorge Nieto at 11.7%, and Roberto Sánchez surging—fuels trader consensus on "Other" pairings at 62.4%. Logistical chaos, including ballot delivery delays in Lima that disenfranchised thousands and extended voting into April 13, plus fraud allegations from López Aliaga demanding annulment, heighten uncertainty over the top two advancing to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls had flagged a fragmented field with over 30 candidates, amplifying volatility in this skin-in-the-game market.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$999,987
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Otro" con 63%, seguido de "López Aliaga y Fujimori" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?" ha generado $1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?" es "Otro" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "López Aliaga y Fujimori" con 29%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué candidatos avanzan a la segunda vuelta presidencial de 2026 en Perú?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.