Ongoing federal grand jury investigations into former officials such as John Brennan, tied to 2016 intelligence assessments and broader probes into prior actions against President Trump, represent the leading driver of trader focus in this multi-outcome market. James Comey faces an active criminal case with arraignment scheduled for late September 2026 and a potential trial shortly after, though defense motions seek delays into 2027. Additional attention centers on figures like Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration enforcement and court proceedings, alongside other listed individuals under congressional or DOJ scrutiny. Resolution depends on physical custody by December 31, 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty around indictment timing, plea outcomes, and any late-stage developments in these cases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
$422,566 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
8%
John Brennan
25%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
13%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
18%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
8%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
10%
Lisa Cook
3%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$422,566 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$167,175 Vol.
8%
John Brennan
$24,949 Vol.
25%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,915 Vol.
13%
Adam Schiff
$17,036 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$29,681 Vol.
2%
James Comey
$10,852 Vol.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,385 Vol.
18%
James Clapper
$8,469 Vol.
12%
Letitia James
$4,349 Vol.
8%
Hillary Clinton
$26,360 Vol.
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,889 Vol.
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 Vol.
8%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
9%
Candace Owens
$268 Vol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,441 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,949 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$503 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 Vol.
2%
Tom Homan
$42,112 Vol.
5%
Kash Patel
$607 Vol.
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 Vol.
10%
Lisa Cook
$4,042 Vol.
3%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$7,597 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal grand jury investigations into former officials such as John Brennan, tied to 2016 intelligence assessments and broader probes into prior actions against President Trump, represent the leading driver of trader focus in this multi-outcome market. James Comey faces an active criminal case with arraignment scheduled for late September 2026 and a potential trial shortly after, though defense motions seek delays into 2027. Additional attention centers on figures like Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration enforcement and court proceedings, alongside other listed individuals under congressional or DOJ scrutiny. Resolution depends on physical custody by December 31, 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty around indictment timing, plea outcomes, and any late-stage developments in these cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$422,566Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal grand jury investigations into former officials such as John Brennan, tied to 2016 intelligence assessments and broader probes into prior actions against President Trump, represent the leading driver of trader focus in this multi-outcome market. James Comey faces an active criminal case with arraignment scheduled for late September 2026 and a potential trial shortly after, though defense motions seek delays into 2027. Additional attention centers on figures like Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration enforcement and court proceedings, alongside other listed individuals under congressional or DOJ scrutiny. Resolution depends on physical custody by December 31, 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty around indictment timing, plea outcomes, and any late-stage developments in these cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$422,566Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing federal grand jury investigations into former officials such as John Brennan, tied to 2016 intelligence assessments and broader probes into prior actions against President Trump, represent the leading driver of trader focus in this multi-outcome market. James Comey faces an active criminal case with arraignment scheduled for late September 2026 and a potential trial shortly after, though defense motions seek delays into 2027. Additional attention centers on figures like Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration enforcement and court proceedings, alongside other listed individuals under congressional or DOJ scrutiny. Resolution depends on physical custody by December 31, 2026, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty around indictment timing, plea outcomes, and any late-stage developments in these cases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes