Active federal investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials, particularly James Comey and John Brennan, anchor trader assessments for arrests before 2027. Grand jury activity, subpoenas, and DOJ resource allocations under expanded 2027 budget priorities have elevated implied probabilities for these figures to the 50-75% range across related markets. Letitia James and similar state-level targets register lower single-digit to mid-30% odds tied to narrower procedural tracks. Broader context includes continued scrutiny of prior Russia-related matters and administrative enforcement emphasis, with resolution hinging on indictment timelines through December 2026. No confirmed charges have shifted the landscape in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$119,790 Vol.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
31%
John Brennan
40%
James Clapper
24%
Brandon Johnson
27%
Tom Homan
18%
Letitia James
26%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Adam Schiff
8%
Anthony Fauci
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Kash Patel
7%
John Kerry
6%
Lisa Cook
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Pam Bondi
5%
Lee Jun-seok
28%
Bill Clinton
4%
Joe Biden
4%
Barack Obama
4%
James Comey
17%
Benjamin Netanyahu
51%
Mahmoud Khalil
56%
Susan Rice
48%
$119,790 Vol.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,977 Vol.
31%
John Brennan
$6,677 Vol.
40%
James Clapper
$2,658 Vol.
24%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 Vol.
27%
Tom Homan
$29,701 Vol.
18%
Letitia James
$1,340 Vol.
26%
Loretta Lynch
$472 Vol.
11%
Adam Schiff
$6,726 Vol.
8%
Anthony Fauci
$8,098 Vol.
8%
Candace Owens
$257 Vol.
7%
Kash Patel
$153 Vol.
7%
John Kerry
$99 Vol.
6%
Lisa Cook
$590 Vol.
6%
Hillary Clinton
$15,653 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$19,192 Vol.
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,546 Vol.
5%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 Vol.
28%
Bill Clinton
$332 Vol.
4%
Joe Biden
$2,047 Vol.
4%
Barack Obama
$2,857 Vol.
4%
James Comey
$9,244 Vol.
17%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$275 Vol.
51%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,190 Vol.
56%
Susan Rice
$262 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Active federal investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials, particularly James Comey and John Brennan, anchor trader assessments for arrests before 2027. Grand jury activity, subpoenas, and DOJ resource allocations under expanded 2027 budget priorities have elevated implied probabilities for these figures to the 50-75% range across related markets. Letitia James and similar state-level targets register lower single-digit to mid-30% odds tied to narrower procedural tracks. Broader context includes continued scrutiny of prior Russia-related matters and administrative enforcement emphasis, with resolution hinging on indictment timelines through December 2026. No confirmed charges have shifted the landscape in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$119,790Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Active federal investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials, particularly James Comey and John Brennan, anchor trader assessments for arrests before 2027. Grand jury activity, subpoenas, and DOJ resource allocations under expanded 2027 budget priorities have elevated implied probabilities for these figures to the 50-75% range across related markets. Letitia James and similar state-level targets register lower single-digit to mid-30% odds tied to narrower procedural tracks. Broader context includes continued scrutiny of prior Russia-related matters and administrative enforcement emphasis, with resolution hinging on indictment timelines through December 2026. No confirmed charges have shifted the landscape in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$119,790Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Active federal investigations into former intelligence and law enforcement officials, particularly James Comey and John Brennan, anchor trader assessments for arrests before 2027. Grand jury activity, subpoenas, and DOJ resource allocations under expanded 2027 budget priorities have elevated implied probabilities for these figures to the 50-75% range across related markets. Letitia James and similar state-level targets register lower single-digit to mid-30% odds tied to narrower procedural tracks. Broader context includes continued scrutiny of prior Russia-related matters and administrative enforcement emphasis, with resolution hinging on indictment timelines through December 2026. No confirmed charges have shifted the landscape in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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