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icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$465,110 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$465,110 Vol.

Polymarket

Roger Stone

$8,470 Vol.

22%

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Vol.

20%

Ryan Salame

$32,068 Vol.

16%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,544 Vol.

15%

Matt Gaetz

$6,354 Vol.

12%

Roger Ver

$2,260 Vol.

12%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Donald Brodie

$5,038 Vol.

10%

Steve Bannon

$8,049 Vol.

10%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Derek Chauvin

$26,856 Vol.

8%

Young Thug

$4,717 Vol.

7%

Julian Assange

$4,218 Vol.

6%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$30,645 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,613 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$25,378 Vol.

5%

Nicolás Maduro

$10,351 Vol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$1,475 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$30,270 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$136,160 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,207 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

4%

Él mismo

$13,668 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,927 Vol.

2%

Hunter Biden

$5,661 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second-term clemency actions have centered on January 6 defendants, political allies tied to the 2020 election challenges, and individuals with access to White House influencers or lobbyists willing to advocate directly. The president granted blanket relief to roughly 1,500 January 6 cases on his first day in office and has since issued additional pardons and commutations to white-collar offenders, firearms violators, and select high-profile figures, frequently outside standard Department of Justice guidelines. Recent September 2026 grants of about 30 clemencies, some issued with limited public detail, reflect continued activity driven by personal appeals, donations, or paid intermediaries. Trader assessments before 2027 will likely track remaining connected cases, any scaled-up anniversary-related actions, and the pace of insider advocacy amid the midterm cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$465,110
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second-term clemency actions have centered on January 6 defendants, political allies tied to the 2020 election challenges, and individuals with access to White House influencers or lobbyists willing to advocate directly. The president granted blanket relief to roughly 1,500 January 6 cases on his first day in office and has since issued additional pardons and commutations to white-collar offenders, firearms violators, and select high-profile figures, frequently outside standard Department of Justice guidelines. Recent September 2026 grants of about 30 clemencies, some issued with limited public detail, reflect continued activity driven by personal appeals, donations, or paid intermediaries. Trader assessments before 2027 will likely track remaining connected cases, any scaled-up anniversary-related actions, and the pace of insider advocacy amid the midterm cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$465,110
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 28 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Roger Stone" con 22%, seguido de "Stefan Brodie" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $465.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 28 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Roger Stone" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Stefan Brodie" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.