Presidents have rarely resigned from office absent extraordinary circumstances such as impending impeachment or severe incapacity, a pattern reflected in the 96.3% trader consensus that Donald Trump will not step down before 2027. With his current term extending through 2029, no public statements, health disclosures, or legislative developments in recent months have signaled any intent to depart early. Historical base rates for voluntary exits remain low outside of specific crises. Factors that could still shift probabilities include sudden health events requiring medical incapacity determinations, major legal rulings producing sustained bipartisan pressure, or unforeseen scandals prompting formal congressional action, though such developments remain speculative and outside current verified reporting.