Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and ground operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements including Svitle north of the city as part of broader efforts to advance westward. Russian Ministry of Defense statements in late July 2026 claimed control of Svitle and nearby areas, though independent assessments from the Institute for the Study of War described it as a contested gray zone with Russian units approaching within roughly 2 km but lacking confirmed consolidation. Ukrainian sources reported ongoing defensive actions and infiltration countermeasures amid fluctuating frontline positions. Trader sentiment reflects these verified incremental Russian gains alongside Ukrainian stabilization efforts elsewhere, with resolution hinging on future battlefield control confirmed through geolocated evidence or official statements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Rusia capturará a Svitle para...?
¿Rusia capturará a Svitle para...?
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
31 de agosto
12%
31 de octubre
29%
$5,938 Vol.
31 de agosto
$2,791 Vol.
12%
31 de octubre
$3,148 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and ground operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements including Svitle north of the city as part of broader efforts to advance westward. Russian Ministry of Defense statements in late July 2026 claimed control of Svitle and nearby areas, though independent assessments from the Institute for the Study of War described it as a contested gray zone with Russian units approaching within roughly 2 km but lacking confirmed consolidation. Ukrainian sources reported ongoing defensive actions and infiltration countermeasures amid fluctuating frontline positions. Trader sentiment reflects these verified incremental Russian gains alongside Ukrainian stabilization efforts elsewhere, with resolution hinging on future battlefield control confirmed through geolocated evidence or official statements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volumen
$5,938Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and ground operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements including Svitle north of the city as part of broader efforts to advance westward. Russian Ministry of Defense statements in late July 2026 claimed control of Svitle and nearby areas, though independent assessments from the Institute for the Study of War described it as a contested gray zone with Russian units approaching within roughly 2 km but lacking confirmed consolidation. Ukrainian sources reported ongoing defensive actions and infiltration countermeasures amid fluctuating frontline positions. Trader sentiment reflects these verified incremental Russian gains alongside Ukrainian stabilization efforts elsewhere, with resolution hinging on future battlefield control confirmed through geolocated evidence or official statements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,938Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated infiltration attempts and ground operations in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements including Svitle north of the city as part of broader efforts to advance westward. Russian Ministry of Defense statements in late July 2026 claimed control of Svitle and nearby areas, though independent assessments from the Institute for the Study of War described it as a contested gray zone with Russian units approaching within roughly 2 km but lacking confirmed consolidation. Ukrainian sources reported ongoing defensive actions and infiltration countermeasures amid fluctuating frontline positions. Trader sentiment reflects these verified incremental Russian gains alongside Ukrainian stabilization efforts elsewhere, with resolution hinging on future battlefield control confirmed through geolocated evidence or official statements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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