Nevada’s constitutional amendment process requires citizen-initiated measures to secure voter approval in two consecutive general elections. Question 6, which would enshrine a right to abortion up to fetal viability (or later to protect the pregnant person’s life or health), passed its first vote in November 2024 with substantial support. This built on long-standing statutory protections from a 1990 referendum and 2019 legislation. With the November 2026 ballot still months away and no major shifts in polling or organized opposition reported, traders assign a high probability to a second affirmative outcome, consistent with the measure’s prior performance and the state’s baseline voter sentiment on reproductive rights.