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icon for ¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?

¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?

¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$3,341,021 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$3,341,021 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state institutions, and military through loyalist appointments across the Politburo Standing Committee and Central Military Commission, with no designated successor elevated to challenge his position ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Recent verifiable activity, including his June 2026 state visit to North Korea and ongoing diplomatic engagements, shows no signs of incapacity or internal opposition capable of forcing removal within the narrow window to June 30. Past health rumors and coup speculation have lacked substantiation from credible reporting, while purges have reinforced rather than eroded his authority. Trader consensus at 99.2% on "No" reflects this structural stability and the absence of any catalyst for abrupt change. A sudden documented health crisis or unprecedented elite revolt could theoretically shift dynamics, though both remain improbable based on current evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,341,021
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party, state institutions, and military through loyalist appointments across the Politburo Standing Committee and Central Military Commission, with no designated successor elevated to challenge his position ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Recent verifiable activity, including his June 2026 state visit to North Korea and ongoing diplomatic engagements, shows no signs of incapacity or internal opposition capable of forcing removal within the narrow window to June 30. Past health rumors and coup speculation have lacked substantiation from credible reporting, while purges have reinforced rather than eroded his authority. Trader consensus at 99.2% on "No" reflects this structural stability and the absence of any catalyst for abrupt change. A sudden documented health crisis or unprecedented elite revolt could theoretically shift dynamics, though both remain improbable based on current evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,341,021
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes del 30 de junio?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $3.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 17, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Xi Jinping fuera antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Xi Jinping se irá antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.